PGA Tour

Fantasy golf expert picks: Shell Houston Open

Phil Mickelson
Phil Mickelson ( Getty Images )

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Need fantasy-golf advice for this week's Shell Houston Open? Our Golfweek experts are here to help, providing their pick to win, sleeper players, DraftKings bargains and more.

• • •

JEFF BABINEAU

  • Projected champion: J.B. Holmes. Defending champion, seldom gets the respect he deserves for his game. Last five finishes here include a win, a second, a T-8 and a T-12.
  • DraftKings bargain (best value): Kevin Chappell ($7,800). Did not win at Bay Hill, but handled himself well down the stretch and finished second. Was T-6 here three years ago.
  • Course horse: Phil Mickelson. He hasn’t finished out of the top 20 in Houston since 2010, won in 2011, and will have lots of focus being only a week from Augusta.
  • Sleeper pick (outside the top 100 in OWGR): Steve Stricker. He may be listed as No. 203 in the world, but he hasn’t forgotten how to play. And he’s played a fair amount for a part-timer.
  • Fade (player to avoid): Brian Harman. Like his spunk, but in Houston, he’s played four times and never finished better than T-58.

• • •

ADAM SCHUPAK

  • Projected champion: Phil Mickelson. He’s a past champion here and I like his rejuvenated game and desire to end his winless drought.
  • DraftKings bargain (best value): Patrick Rodgers. At $7,000, he has shown me he’s back on track the last two weeks and his combo of length and accuracy are made for the SHO.
  • Course horse: This is a bombers course. Defending champion J.B. Holmes has a studly record in H-town, but I like Henrik Stenson, who has a pair of top-3 finishes and enters rested and in good form (T-3 at Bay Hill in previous start).
  • Sleeper pick (outside the top 100 in OWGR): Shawn Stefani (No. 236) is buried in a slump but he’s a Baytown, Texas-native and contended here in the past. A bargain at $5,800.
  • Fade (player to avoid): Will Wilcox. He finished second in the All-Around category in 2014-2015, snug between Jordan Spieth and Jason Day, but this year he ranks No. 114, and is still trying to find his form.

• • •

BRENTLEY ROMINE

  • Projected champion: Henrik Stenson. A week of rest will do the Swede good. He has a pair of top-3 finishes here and hasn't missed the cut in four tries. He was T-3 at Bay Hill and would love a victory heading into Augusta.
  • DraftKings bargain (best value): Chez Reavie ($6,700). He is ranked No. 47 in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings and was T-35 in Houston last year. He also had three finishes of T-26 or better in his last four starts this season.
  • Course horse: J.B. Holmes. I don't think he'll win, but his track record here shows that he'll at least get you a good finish. He won the SHO last year after three finishes of T-12 or better since his P-2 in 2009.
  • Sleeper pick (outside the top 100 in OWGR): Charles Howell III. He is ranked No. 102 in the world but No. 29 in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings. He was T-5 here last year and has been in the top 20 in three out of his last four Houston starts.
  • Fade (player to avoid): Daniel Berger. He was T-25 here last year, but he hasn't cracked the top 10 on the PGA Tour since the 2015 BMW Championship. Plus, with the Masters a week away, if Berger's hand isn't feeling well, can't imagine he'll push through it this week. Risky play.

• • •

The field

Players are listed in order of Golfweek/Sagarin ranking, along with their value in DraftKings.

  • 2. Jordan Spieth, $12,900
  • 3. Henrik Stenson, $10,800
  • 6. Dustin Johnson, $10,700
  • 9. Phil Mickelson, $10,500
  • 11. Rickie Fowler, $11,000
  • 12. Sergio Garcia, $9,900
  • 16. Patrick Reed, $10,300
  • 18. Brooks Koepka, $9,300
  • 20. J.B. Holmes, $9,700
  • 22. Charl Schwartzel, $9,500
  • 28. Ryan Palmer, $8,200
  • 29. Charles Howell III, $8,900
  • 30. Patton Kizzire, $7,400
  • 31. Louis Oosthuizen, $10,200
  • 34. Brendan Steele, $7,400
  • 38. Harris English, $7,600
  • 39. Kevin Chappell, $7,800
  • 46. K.J. Choi, $7,800
  • 47. Chez Reavie, $6,700
  • 48. Graham DeLaet, $8,700
  • 50. Freddie Jacobson, $7,500
  • 51. Steve Stricker, $7,700
  • 52. Shane Lowry, $7,600
  • 53. William McGirt, $7,200
  • 54. Jamie Lovemark, $7,900
  • 55. Jimmy Walker, $9,200
  • 56. Scott Brown, $7,900
  • 57. Charley Hoffman, $8,400
  • 58. Retief Goosen, $6,800
  • 59. Tony Finau, $8,100
  • 60. Colt Knost, $5,300
  • 62. Scott Piercy, $7,700
  • 63. Rafa Cabrera Bello, $8,500
  • 65. Ben Martin, $6,900
  • 67. Roberto Castro, $5,700
  • 68. Kyle Stanley, $5,600
  • 69. Alex Cejka, $6,800
  • 71. Will Wilcox, $6,500
  • 73. Hudson Swafford, $6,000
  • 74. Thongchai Jaidee, $6,900
  • 77. Gary Woodland, $7,300
  • 78. Vijay Singh, $5,600
  • 81. John Senden, $6,400
  • 83. Jason Gore, $5,700
  • 85. Patrick Rodgers, $7,300
  • 86. Jim Herman, $5,300
  • 87. Chad Campbell, $6,300
  • 92. John Huh, $7,200
  • 94. Cameron Tringale, $8,000
  • 96. Matt Jones, $7,500
  • 97. Bernd Wiesberger, $7,000
  • 98. Keegan Bradley, $8,300
  • 99. Brian Harman, $6,100
  • 101. Lucas Glover, $6,300
  • 102. Jamie Donaldson, $6,700
  • 104. Stewart Cink, $5,900
  • 105. Jhonattan Vegas, $5,700
  • 107. Sean O'Hair, $6,800
  • 108. Adam Hadwin, $6,600
  • 111. Kevin Streelman, $6,700
  • 112. Tyrone Van Aswegen, $5,100
  • 114. Hunter Mahan, $7,100
  • 121. Steve Marino, $6,100
  • 122. James Hahn, $5,400
  • 125. Kyle Reifers, $6,900
  • 126. Ricky Barnes, $5,400
  • 128. Spencer Levin, $5,800
  • 129. Michael Kim, $5,100
  • 133. Si Woo Kim, $5,500
  • 134. Lee Westwood, $7,000
  • 135. Greg Owen, $5,300
  • 136. Seung-Yul Noh, $5,900
  • 138. Mark Hubbard, $5,400
  • 139. Cameron Smith, $6,500
  • 143. David Toms, $5,500
  • 147. Bryce Molder, $6,000
  • 150. Camilo Villegas, $6,400
  • 152. Russell Henley, $7,000
  • 153. Bronson Burgoon, $5,400
  • 154. Carl Pettersson, $5,200
  • 156. Daniel Berger, $8,100
  • 160. David Hearn, $6,300
  • 161. Jason Kokrak, $8,000
  • 168. Brendon de Jonge, $6,200
  • 169. Nick Taylor, $5,900
  • 170. Derek Fathauer, $6,500
  • 173. Davis Love III, $5,100
  • 174. Martin Laird, $6,600
  • 178. Vaughn Taylor, $5,700
  • 179. Chesson Hadley, $5,800
  • 183. Padraig Harrington, $5,900
  • 188. J.J. Henry, $5,000
  • 191. Ernie Els, $6,200
  • 192. Rafael Campos, $5,200
  • 193. Jonas Blixt, $7,100
  • 195. Scott Langley, $5,400
  • 196. Hiroshi Iwata, $5,900
  • 199. Boo Weekley, $5,600
  • 202. Chris Stroud, $6,200
  • 211. Jeff Overton, $5,400
  • 212. Andrew Loupe, $5,700
  • 216. Aaron Baddeley, $7,100
  • 218. Erik Compton, $5,100
  • 220. Scott Pinckney, $5,300
  • 224. Harold Varner III, $5,500
  • 227. Morgan Hoffmann, $5,800
  • 233. Shawn Stefani, $5,800
  • 234. Johnson Wagner, $6,100
  • 236. Steve Wheatcroft, $5,200
  • 237. Andres Romero, $6,000
  • 238. Ben Crane, $5,600
  • 241. Brett Stegmaier, $5,600
  • 243. Zac Blair, $5,500
  • 251. Ken Duke, $5,200
  • 262. Geoff Ogilvy, $5,300
  • 267. Whee Kim, $5,200
  • 269. Angel Cabrera, $5,500
  • 273. Carlos Ortiz, $5,300
  • 286. Jon Curran, $5,800
  • 288. Chad Collins, $5,000
  • 304. Justin Hicks, $5,000
  • 305. Peter Malnati, $5,100
  • 312. Luke Guthrie, $5,600
  • 313. Will MacKenzie, $6,400
  • 326. Steven Bowditch, $5,000
  • 329. Blayne Barber, $5,900
  • 372. Scott Stallings, $5,100
  • 456. D.A. Points, $5,400
  • 475. Rhein Gibson, $5,200
  • 483. Matt Every, $5,400
  • 497. Andres Gonzales, $5,000
  • 618. Dawie van der Walt, $5,200
  • 650. Charlie Beljan, $5,100
  • 745. Robert Allenby, $5,000
  • NR. Matt Dobyns, $5,000
  • NR. Mike Weir, $5,000
  • NR. Omar Uresti, $5,000
  • NR. Stuart Appleby, $5,200

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